根据市场数据计算房价 PREDICTING THE DIRECTION OF HOME VALUES
The relationship of the real estate market’s current supply and demand to market absorption can be an
able predictor of how current market conditions are impacting the value of residential housing.
The graph below illustrates this analysis as an annualized percent effect to current property values.
房屋供需比 SUPPLY DEMAND RATIO:
The relationship between monthly reported listings
(supply) and reported sales (demand) activity expressed as
a percent ratio can often be an early indicator of a shift in
Calculation: monthly rate of # of reported sales divided
by # of monthly new listings (past 30 days only)
.50 -.60 represents normal market
>.60 represents seller market
<.50 represents buyer market
市场消化率 MARKET ABSORPTION:
The period of time which is projected to totally deplete the
existing inventory level given current monthly sales activity
with no additional listings coming on the market.
Calculation: monthly current active listings divided by
5/6 months supply represents normal market
>6 months supply represents buyer market direction
<5 months supply represents seller market direction